All The Billingsleys Your Heart Could Desire: Chavez Ravining Loot Part 2

Here's the next installment of "stuff I bought from Chavez Ravining last year." Today's post will have a very distinct theme to it: long-time PTSIA favorite and underrated Dodger Chad Billingsley.

First up, five autos including a really cool in-person auto on a 2006 Fleer Blue Chip Prospects card. I remember Alex posting the card and I was captivated immediately. It looks like it's certified until you have it in-hand which is a cool touch and a credit to Fleer, really. The dual with Jon Meloan is numbered out of 35.

Jersey cards are still cool to me most of the time. I don't really chase them but I still find enjoyment in adding them to my various collections when the opportunity presents itself. Top left is /35 and top right is /50.

There was a small chunk of Bills base. My favorites are above. I feel like there are not nearly enough rosin bag-related shots of pitchers. Maybe. Maybe.

Finally, I'm sneaking in a pair of Hyun-Jin Ryu rookies. Because he's awesome.

Thanks Alex!

It's Still Painful....

I spotted this card for a seemingly low Buy-It-Now price with a Best Offer option. There was a pending offer, but the price was so good I had no choice but to swoop in and purchase it before it got away. You know, like Ned Colletti let the player depicted on said card get away.

It's a refractor, numbered out of 500 - 430/500, to be exact - and is one of Santana's few Dodger cards. It pairs nicely with my base '08 Bowman Chrome Santana RC, and I got it for well under what it books for, and what the owners of the two copies on COMC are looking for.

#CollettiFail

You Always Remember Your First Time: Carlos Santana

A new-ish series of posts. A series that will randomly appear from time to time. The first time had as its focus top Dodger prospect Zach Lee. The second installment begins forthwith.

The 2008 trade of Carlos Santana and Jonathan Meloan for Casey Blake was one of the absolute worst trades in Dodgers history. And that's saying something, considering this is an organization that traded away Mike Piazza and Pedro Martinez, and lost Roberto Clemente to Pittsburgh in the 1954 Rule 5 Draft.

Thanks, Ned Colletti.

Anyways, for longer-time readers of the blog, though Santana was traded away years ago, I vowed to keep his name on the labels portion of the sidebar, as a form of silent protest. I also wanted to collect him, because this team would be infinitely better with him on it.

Of course, I'm not the only one collecting one of the brightest catching prospects in recent memory, so his cards - particularly his autos - weren't cheap when they first hit. Even after the devastating knee injury he suffered last year, his cards were still just out of the range I was looking to pay.

However, patience does sometimes pay off. And it pays off in spades when it comes to cards, eBay, and a fickle collecting community. So after numerous attempts to land a Santana Auto, I finally hit the jackpot. For $9 shipped, I landed this sweet 2010 Bowman Sterling auto:

I was beyond thrilled to have finally snagged a Santana Auto, and for a great price to top off the joyous occasion.

But as with just about every other collector I've come into contact with, a great deal can't be passed up, even for a card you already own. Especially when it's of a player you collect. And his signature is involved. And he's one of baseball's brightest young stars.

So yeah....I added another Santana Auto when the price was just $6.38 delivered.

The card is not miscut (sorry dawgbones). It is simply the scan I stole borrowed.

Well, you know how they say three's a crowd? I scoff at that time-honored statement. Because as we all know, everything is better in a 3-Way.

So checking in at a price of $7.51 shipped, this seemed to be a no-brainer.

I'm not even entirely sure I anticipated winning any of these, let alone all three. But I'm not complaining. Far from it. As the kids say, I'm stoked. But for us old, grizzled men, I think "I'm pretty swell right now" is a more apropos description of my state of mind.

To spice up the fun of having three of these bad boys (and I foresee one eventually making the trip to eBay, and hopefully netting me a handsome little profit - or not so little, as I'm not opposed to reeling in the scrilla), I placed the first Carlos in a penny sleeve, rookie toploader, and team bag; the second Santana in a magnetic and team bag; and the final "we're too cheap to pay two million dollars for Casey Blake, so here's our top offensive prospect" got the penny sleeve, regular toploader, and team bag treatment.

Oh, and I now only need Santana's true rookie card (with him in Dodger Blue!....oh crap, that's sorta bittersweet, come to think of it). It was hinted at in a past trade that never came to fruition - both me getting his RC and the trade itself. So yeah, if anyone has one they're willing to part with, I'll gladly trade you for it.

50/139

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I'll have a Graduation Box Break to post tomorrow, so tune in. Because I'm sure there will be at least some Trade Bait to come from it.

Jon Meloan Finds A New Home (Again)

He's been claimed by the A's off of waivers after being traded twice (Dodgers-Indians, Indians-Tampa Bay) and DFAed twice (Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh) in the last year. I'm sure he'd like to stay in one place for awhile.

All the best Jon, hopefully you find a permanent home somewhere soon.

Plaschke, Shut Your Piehole!

And....Here....We....Go:

"Ned Colletti has done nearly everything in his power to fill Dodgers' postseason needs, with one glaring exception: They still lack an ace pitcher."

Where have I heard this before? We have 2 aces in fact, Messrs Kershaw and Billingsley. Whether they are pitching like an "Ace" is an entirely different question. I have no problem with these two fine young pitchers leading the charge.

The Dodgers' general manager was smiling through the stifling heat Tuesday, wearing a long-sleeve dress shirt in his fancy steam bath.

"This is great," he said. "I'm great."

Oh yeah? Well, it's about to get hotter.

That's right, those fires are really wreaking havoc on the air quality near Dodger Stadium. Makes everyone feel a bit hotter. Don't hold your breath though, that would be bad. OK, maybe you can Bill.

Colletti finished his season's work late Monday night, acquiring enough players to satisfy most of the team's postseason needs.

All but the one that burns brightest.

Sirius?

The lack of an ace starting pitcher is still hanging out there, blinding and brutal.

Colletti has done a masterful job of collecting every other imaginable championship piece, but none of it will work without an ace starter.

Tell that to the 2005 White Sox. Or, according to the logic Bill Plaschke uses to determine an ace (i.e. whoever the fuck he deems worthy and "mentally tough enough"), the 2008 Phillies before they won. I'll revisit this point shortly.

Jim Thome and Ronnie Belliard will be nice late-inning threats -- if the Dodgers can hold the lead that long.

*Ranks in MLB for 2009*

Team FIP: 1st

Starters FIP: 4th

Bullpen FIP: 6th

The Dodgers appear quite capable of keeping other teams' offenses in check, so it's really a matter of the Dodgers' offense doing enough, which has been the problem this year. And how exactly does an "ace" help that situation, especially when it could have cost us someone like Matt Kemp? Not that Plaschke would have had a problem with Matt being traded away.

The Dodgers can be confident in nearly every player at every position, except the most important player in the most tenuous spot.

I don't know about you., but James Loney and Rafael Furcal have made me worry more than the pitching. Just saying.

Who will take the ball in their first game in the first full week of October?

Chad Billingsley. Or Clayton Kershaw. Or Randy Wolf. Someone who's either really really good or has been really really good this year.

Who will set the tone the way Cole Hamels set the tone for last year's Philadelphia Phillies?

The same Cole Hamels you would have criticized for being young and inexperienced? The same Cole Hamels you would almost certainly have advocated trading, like you did so many of the young Dodgers, for that crafty veteran? Funny how most of the guys Plaschke wanted the Dodgers to get have no postseason experience themselves. But don't let the facts get in the way William.

The personality of a postseason series is entirely established by the team's No. 1 starting pitcher. Most of the other top NL contenders each have two; the Dodgers don't have one.

We've been over this already Bill, and in fact, your math sucks, because we do have 2. Clayton Kershaw, Chad Billingsley. Chad Billingsley, Clayton Kershaw. Remember 'em Bill, they'll be around for a long time.

The Phillies have Hamels and Cliff Lee. The St. Louis Cardinals have Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. The San Francisco Giants have Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain.

Going by Plaschke's longing desire for guys to have postseason experience, let's look at that above list. Three have it, three don't. The last two and Lee don't, but guess two guys who do have it and wear Blue: that's right, Clayton and Chad. Yet we should have traded for Lee while giving up someone like Bills (if we strictly go by Plaschke's postseason experience decree, which is not even close to the first reason why I wouldn't trade Chad for Cliff)? Great logic Plaschke.

If the playoffs began this week, their top starter would be Randy Wolf, who has 274 career appearances but zero in the postseason.

Pitchers Bill Plaschke likes better than who the Dodgers have: Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee. Guess what they all have in common........NO POSTSEASON EXPERIENCE! Like Randy Wolf.

Their second starter would be Chad Billingsley, who has disappointed the organization with his inability to either act or pitch like an ace. Not to mention, his career postseason earned-run average is 7.24.

3 starts, 5 total appearances. Way to not understand small sample sizes Bill. Though that is 3 more starts and 5 more total appearances than the aforementioned Halladay, Lee, Cain, and Lincecum have combined. And wouldn't acting like an ace simple be pitching like one? Chad Billingsley has a career ERA of 3.47 (a stat Bill will know), a career ERA+ of 125 (with seasons of 135 and 138), and xFIPs of 4.16, 3.74, and 4.04 in the last 3 years. And he's 25. Coming off of hamstring problems and an off-season where he broke a leg. So yeah, he's fine.

The other night in Cincinnati, Billingsley shook his head and said what the Dodgers hate to hear.

"Lately, I haven't been able to find it, and I don't know what it is," he said.

I'd rather him admit when he sucks then act like he's pitching well. So I guess that's something the Dodgers would hate to hear more than what he actually said.

Their third starter will be Clayton Kershaw, who will be a postseason ace in coming years, but not now, not at age 21, not with the sort of inconsistency that could end a game early.

Like Derek Lowe, who at the youthful age of 33, did this in 2006? And suddenly Plaschke can tell a postseason ace before he becomes one? But I thought you said experience and success were necessary, Bill? That's why Randy and Chad aren't any good, and Chad's not an ace....stop making my head spin!

This is why the Dodgers should not have taken a chance. This is why Colletti should have offered more to the Cleveland Indians for Lee.

It is a failed trade that could haunt them through October, a failure of the entire Dodgers organization to either offer or cultivate the right prospects.

It could also be that "failed trade" that leads us to the promised land, as it probably would have taken Kemp or Kershaw to facilitate a trade. And that doesn't make us better, right Bill? Right? And again, the same Cliff Lee with no postseason experience?

Or it could be that this belongs on Frank McCourt's desk. Remember that last summer, in an effort to save money, the Dodgers traded some of their best prospects for players -- Manny Ramirez, Casey Blake, Greg Maddux -- instead of just buying them.

Eduardo Perez and Michael Watt for Maddux. Andy LaRoche and Bryan Morris in the Manny deal. Carlos Santana and Jon Meloan for Blake. I see 1 elite prospect in Santana, 1 solid prospect in LaRoche, and a bunch of fillers. Bill's right on Santana, but "best prospects" is worse than a stretch. It's factually incorrect.

And guess who could be on the mound [ Cliff Lee] against the Dodgers in October?

Any number of pitchers to tell you the truth Bill.

But postseason pitching is about raw, period. It's not about cold statistics as much as swagger and savvy and stuff.

Really, because giving up the least amount of runs and baserunners seems like it's statistical to me. Plus, Kershaw and Billingsley have some of the best, if not best, stuff in the game.

The top pitchers in championship rotations bring the heat. If that guy doesn't emerge soon, the Dodgers will be feeling it.

Heat? Heat!? It's heat you want!?!? Was that as nonsensical as this article, because that's what I was going for.




Whew, I'm spent.

2008 Dodgers, Now 2009 Non-Dodgers

I was thinking about the Dodgers players from 2008 who are no longer with the club, and decided to review some of them - how they left and what they're up to now with their new teams. I also wanted to post something at least partially unique to this blog (does PTSIA work as an abbreviation and/or acronym?), so let's get right to it and see how they're doing in their new locals.

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As always, *Numbers From Baseball Reference, The Hardball Times, and FanGraphs.*

Derek Lowe: Left via free agency. Signed a 4 year, $60 million deal with Atlanta.

Starts: 24
IP: 143
ERA: 4.15
WHIP: 1.4
xFIP: 4.28
SO: 74
BB:45
HR Allowed: 8
HR/9 IP: 0.5
ERA+: 101

Jeff Kent: Retired, almost certainly Cooperstown bound. Career:

OPS+: 123
SLG%: .500
OPS: .855
HR: 377
Total Bases: 4246
Doubles: 560
XBH: 984

Delwyn Young: (MOKM's report on Delwyn Young)


Andy LaRoche: Traded in 3-way-deal between L.A., Boston, and Pittsburgh. LaRoche went to Pittsburgh, Manny Ramirez headed to LA.

Games: 104
PA: 409
OBP: .333
SLG%: .383
OPS: .716
OPS+: 93
HR: 5
BB: 34

Nomar Garciaparra: Left via free agency. Signed a 1 year, $ 1 million deal with Oakland.

Games: 47
PA: 120
OBP: .300
SLG%: .372
OPS: .672
OPS+: 81
HR:2
BB: 6

Andruw Jones: Released. Still receives money from his Dodgers contract. Signed a 1 year minor league deal with Texas, $500,000 for making the major league team, 1$ million in incentives.

Games: 64
PA: 260
OBP: .342
SLG%: .532
OPS: .874
OPS+: 126
HR: 17
BB: 37

Carlos Santana (fuck Colletti and McCheap, I mean McCourt): Traded with Jon Meloan to Cleveland for Casey Blake. His minor league numbers in AA this year:

Games: 102
PA: 413
OBP: .407
SLG%: .530
OPS: .937
OPS+: N/A (pretty damn high would be my guess)
HR: 19
BB: 70

Jon Meloan: Traded with Carlos Santana to Cleveland for Casey Blake. Traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for Winston Abreu. Numbers between TB and Cleveland AAA teams:

IP: 57.1
ERA: 5.02
WHIP: 1.605
SO: 52
BB: 27
HR Allowed: 8